The Masters is an event where you must expect the unexpected. If you look at the winners over the past few years, sitting at a similar point in time before the event, no one would have said that a Scott, Cabrerra, Mickelson, or Watson was a heavy favorite going in.
There will be a lot of golf to play over those 4 days. The weather may come into play. So many stories yet to be written. Luke certainly could rally and be there at the end. Not ready to say he will or wont.